Delistings, token unlocks, liquidation cascades, whale flows, funding divergences. Brimstone records every one, measures what the price did afterwards, and tests whether the pattern holds up against BTC.
Live from the Brimstone event store. Figures as of 25 Oct 2026. Every number comes from recorded events; none is an example.
| Horizon | Measured | Average move | Beyond BTC | Share that fell | Edge test |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 217 | -6.3% | -5.9% | 70% | edge |
| 4h | — | -8.3% | — | 75% | no edge |
| 24h | 216 | -9.5% | -10.4% | 73% | edge |
| 7d | 173 | -16.8% | -20.5% | 79% | edge |
| 30d | — | -9.2% | — | 73% | no edge |
| 90d | 34 | -23.7% | -18.3% | 79% | edge |
| 180d | 31 | -34.1% | -43.8% | 87% | edge |
Edge test: the move beyond BTC over the same window, one average per event day. A horizon passes with 10+ event days, at least 0.2% beyond BTC (round-trip costs), a t-statistic of 2 or more, and the same sign in the earlier and later halves of the record. 90d and 180d samples are still filling in.
An event with no edge is still useful: negative findings improve the database. Types below medium confidence or data quality are tracked but not published.
| Event type | Events | Confidence | Data quality | Edge vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delisting | 242 | high | medium | 1h, 24h, 7d, 90d, 180d |
| Whale Activity | 1,156 | medium | high | 7d |
| Unlock | 1,084 | high | medium | no edge |
| Funding Divergence | 84 | medium | high | no edge |
| Perp/Futures Dislocation | 454 | low | high | collecting |
| Liquidation | 15 | low | high | collecting |
| Listing | 15 | low | low | collecting |
| Arbitrage Opportunity | 6 | low | medium | collecting |
Collect once, analyse once, publish everywhere.
Independent feeds watch exchange notices, unlock schedules, liquidations, on-chain wallets, funding rates and DeFi pools.
Each event goes into one store with its type, asset, lane, source, severity and a market snapshot taken at the time.
Prices are read at 1h, 4h, 24h, 7d, 30d, 90d and 180d, recorded as they happen, so coins that get delisted stay in the sample.
Each figure carries a sample size, confidence rating, data-quality rating and edge verdict. Only medium or better is published.
Brimstone is run by one founder. Devin does the engineering.
| Phase | What | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unified event store: every lane, every outcome horizon | in progress |
| 1.5 | Data-quality framework: sample size, confidence, quality, publish gate | live |
| 2 | Outcome engine: "this event historically leads to X" | in progress |
| 3 | Brimstone Pro (£29–99/month) | planned |
| 4–5 | Risk scores and event correlation | planned |
| 6 | Self-serve data API | planned |
| 7 | Brimstone Terminal: Bloomberg for structural market events | vision |
Delistings, unlocks and liquidation cascades on Telegram, delayed 24 hours.
Real-time alerts, the full event database, historical outcomes per event type, watchlists and a daily briefing.
Self-serve access to events and outcomes for quant and research use.